Month: May 2021

Who were the real conservatives in the Supreme Court’s fight over what counts as ‘watershed’?

Writing for the majority, Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh said that the Ramos rule was “new,” and the court has refused to retroactively apply other momentous new rules. Kavanaugh emphasized that in 1989 the court said it was “unlikely” that new watershed “components of basic due process” would emerge. In 32 years, “the Court has never found” any such new rule.

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The 2022 Midterms Might Surprise Us for 05/20/2021

Tradition tells us that, come the midterms, the president’s party loses seats in the House. If this tradition holds in 2022, that could be bad news for Democrats, whose House majority now stands at only nine seats.

But history of late doesn’t seem to be commandeering the driver’s seat. Right after Joe Biden turned Georgia blue, Politico confidently stated that to win the state’s two Senate runoffs on Jan. 5, “the Democratic Party will have to defy a long track record of failure in overtime elections.

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When do Hamas and Israel reach the beginning of the end?

Historically, when Hamas shelling begins, the United States has promptly recognized Israel’s right of self-defense. Then, within a week or two, with international bodies and regional partners, it increases pressure on Israel to de-escalate. (In particular, Hamas’s use of civilians and locations such as schools and hospitals to shield military assets raises the civilian casualty rate, ratcheting up the pressure on Israel.

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